P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Darcy Fogarty
Darcy Fogarty
Adelaide · @ ESS
0.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.8
L5
0.4
L10
0.8
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0COLMar 141WBDMar 201GEEMar 262NORMay 16☂1HAWMay 211GEEJun 041WBDJun 110MELJun 201PORJun 271WCEJul 030GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 020.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Darcy11.8
ESS398.8
Kicks
Darcy8.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Darcy4.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Darcy2.3
ESS50.5
Clearances
Darcy0.3
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Darcy1.7
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Darcy5.6
ESS121.4
Goals
Darcy2.1
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.7(10)+0.1
Everywhere else0.6(117)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(12)-0.1
Dry games0.6(115)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.