Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

STK

Hugh Boxshall

St Kilda · vs SYD

1.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

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Avg

1.4

L10

1.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Hughvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

11.4Disposals365.6

6.4Kicks210.9

2.6Marks80.8

4.6Tackles54.6

1.4Clearances38.8

1.4Inside 50s55.2

4.6Contested Poss.139.3

0.0Goals11.6

Disposals

Hugh11.4

SYD365.6

Kicks

Hugh6.4

SYD210.9

Marks

Hugh2.6

SYD80.8

Tackles

Hugh4.6

SYD54.6

Clearances

Hugh1.4

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Hugh1.4

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Hugh4.6

SYD139.3

Goals

Hugh0.0

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Clearances

38.8per game · league avg 35.7

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands1.2(6)-0.2

Everywhere else1.4(10)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+0.7

Dry games1.3(15)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.