Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Sam Lalor

Richmond · vs WCE

1.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

25% (2/8)

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Avg

1.1

1.2

L10

1.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

16.3Disposals371.4

9.9Kicks215.1

3.8Marks96.1

2.5Tackles61.7

3.0Clearances38.9

4.4Inside 50s52.9

7.8Contested Poss.133.7

1.1Goals14.7

Disposals

Sam16.3

WCE371.4

Kicks

Sam9.9

WCE215.1

Marks

Sam3.8

WCE96.1

Tackles

Sam2.5

WCE61.7

Clearances

Sam3.0

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Sam4.4

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Sam7.8

WCE133.7

Goals

Sam1.1

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Goals

14.7per game · league avg 12.7

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At M.C.G.1.3(12)+0.8

Everywhere else0.6(7)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+1.0

Dry games1.0(18)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.