Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jasper Alger

Richmond · vs WCE

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

38% (3/8)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.5

0.8

L10

1.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WCE

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jaspervs all playersStatWCE concedePer game

8.1Disposals371.4

4.1Kicks215.1

2.6Marks96.1

1.5Tackles61.7

0.4Clearances38.9

0.8Inside 50s52.9

3.8Contested Poss.133.7

1.6Goals14.7

Disposals

Jasper8.1

WCE371.4

Kicks

Jasper4.1

WCE215.1

Marks

Jasper2.6

WCE96.1

Tackles

Jasper1.5

WCE61.7

Clearances

Jasper0.4

WCE38.9

Inside 50s

Jasper0.8

WCE52.9

Contested Poss.

Jasper3.8

WCE133.7

Goals

Jasper1.6

WCE14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WCE concede · Tackles

61.7per game · league avg 56.9

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.3(7)+0.1

Everywhere else1.2(5)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)0.7(3)-0.8

Dry games1.4(9)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.