Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Luke Parker

North Melbourne · @ HAW

6.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

6.7

7.2

L10

6.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ HAW

Game conditionsYork Park · LauncestonRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:35☁ 12.9°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 14.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatHAW concedePer game

25.4Disposals355.0

16.0Kicks205.1

6.7Marks81.7

1.9Tackles60.8

0.8Clearances34.2

1.5Inside 50s51.3

5.2Contested Poss.127.8

0.1Goals12.3

Disposals

Luke25.4

HAW355.0

Kicks

Luke16.0

HAW205.1

Marks

Luke6.7

HAW81.7

Tackles

Luke1.9

HAW60.8

Clearances

Luke0.8

HAW34.2

Inside 50s

Luke1.5

HAW51.3

Contested Poss.

Luke5.2

HAW127.8

Goals

Luke0.1

HAW12.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

HAW concede · Marks

81.7per game · league avg 93.0

#15 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At York Park4.0(1)-1.0

Everywhere else5.0(39)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)-2.6

Dry games5.1(38)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.