Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Nic Newman

Carlton · vs BRI

0.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

27% (4/15)

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Avg

0.3

0.2

L10

0.2

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Nicvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

22.6Disposals356.9

17.1Kicks198.7

7.3Marks79.9

2.7Tackles54.9

0.3Clearances32.9

2.2Inside 50s53.7

2.9Contested Poss.126.1

0.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Nic22.6

BRI356.9

Kicks

Nic17.1

BRI198.7

Marks

Nic7.3

BRI79.9

Tackles

Nic2.7

BRI54.9

Clearances

Nic0.3

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Nic2.2

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Nic2.9

BRI126.1

Goals

Nic0.1

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Clearances

32.9per game · league avg 35.7

#17 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Clearances

At Docklands0.5(40)-0.2

Everywhere else0.7(78)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(8)-0.4

Dry games0.7(110)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.