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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
MELRound 23Sat 08-08 · 13:00MAN
SFSualauvi FaalogoLB1.5MLMoses LeoLB1.5WWWill WarbrickLB0.5HGHarry GrantLB0.5TWTyran WishartLB0.5NMNick MeaneyLB0.5JHJahrome HughesLB0.5JCJoe ChanLB0.5CMCameron MunsterLB0.5MWManaia WaitereLB0.5JHJack HowarthLB0.5SUStefano UtoikamanuLB0.5
LHLehi HopoateLB0.5TKTolutau KoulaLB0.5JSJason SaabLB0.5HOHaumole Olakau'atuLB0.5CFClayton FaulaloLB0.5RG

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

SFSualauvi Faalogo1.5MLMoses Leo1.5WWWill Warbrick0.5HGHarry Grant0.5TWTyran Wishart0.5NMNick Meaney0.5JHJahrome Hughes0.5JCJoe Chan
Reuben Garrick
LB
0.5
TTTom TrbojevicLB0.5
BTBen TrbojevicLB0.5
JWJoey WalshLB0.5
CTChristian TuipulotuLB0.5
LBLuke BrooksLB0.5
TPTaniela PasekaLB0.5
0.5
CMCameron Munster0.5
MWManaia Waitere0.5
JHJack Howarth0.5
SUStefano Utoikamanu0.5
LHLehi Hopoate0.5
TKTolutau Koula0.5
JSJason Saab0.5
HOHaumole Olakau'atu0.5
CFClayton Faulalo0.5
RGReuben Garrick0.5
TTTom Trbojevic0.5
BTBen Trbojevic0.5
JWJoey Walsh0.5
CTChristian Tuipulotu0.5
LBLuke Brooks0.5
TPTaniela Paseka0.5
TriesTry AssistsTackle BreaksLine BreaksRun MetresTacklesOffloadsRunsPointsGoalsLine Break AssistsPost Contact MetresFantasy Points
Current to Round 22, today
ML
Moses Leo
Melbourne Storm · vs MAN
1.5 LBO —U —
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.0
L5
0.8
L10
0.9
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o1.5
3PARMar 051SGIMar 140BRIMar 200NQLMar 280WARApr 111PARMay 162CBYMay 222SYDMay 30☂0NEWJun 052CBRJun 210MANJun 271SOUJul 241CBYJul 31?MANAug 081.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (20%)🌬 15.7 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Mosesvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
134.7
82
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1625.6
Moses 134.7/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1691.0
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.9
93
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
31
31.4
Moses 3.9/game
MAN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.6
24
Tacklesneutral
56
349.6
Moses 6.6/game
MAN concedes 349.6/game · league avg 345.0
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Triesunfavorable
19
3.6
Moses 0.8/game
MAN concedes 3.6/game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
19
3.1
Moses 0.0/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
97
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Moses 1.0/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
40
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Moses 0.2/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
36.4
68
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
518.9
Moses 36.4/game
MAN concedes 518.9/game · league avg 545.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Moses134.7
82
MAN1625.6
31
Moses 134.7/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1691.0
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Moses3.9

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MAN concede · Line Breaks

4.5per game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Line Breaks

At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else0.9(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Line Breaks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+1.2
Dry games0.8(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs MAN · Line Breaks

Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+75%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26CROJesse Ramien0.52+271%
07-26CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.10-100%
07-26CROTeig Wilton0.31+240%
07-26CROSione Katoa1.010%
07-26CROKL Iro0.50-100%
07-26CROOregon Kaufusi0.10-100%
07-26CROWilliam Kennedy0.51+111%
07-26CROBilly Burns0.31+280%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moses's. Computed from this app's own records.
93
MAN31.4
31
Moses 3.9/game
MAN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Moses6.6
24
MAN349.6
56
Moses 6.6/game
MAN concedes 349.6/game · league avg 345.0
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesunfavorable
Moses0.8
96
MAN3.6
19
Moses 0.8/game
MAN concedes 3.6/game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Moses0.0
0
MAN3.1
19
Moses 0.0/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Moses1.0
97
MAN4.5
19
Moses 1.0/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Moses0.2
40
MAN11.6
100
Moses 0.2/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Moses36.4
68
MAN518.9
31
Moses 36.4/game
MAN concedes 518.9/game · league avg 545.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
All
See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races