Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Harry McKay

Carlton · vs BRI

5.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

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Avg

5.5

4.0

L10

5.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs BRI

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 19:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harryvs all playersStatBRI concedePer game

13.2Disposals356.9

8.9Kicks198.7

5.5Marks79.9

1.4Tackles54.9

1.3Clearances32.9

2.1Inside 50s53.7

7.2Contested Poss.126.1

1.3Goals13.2

Disposals

Harry13.2

BRI356.9

Kicks

Harry8.9

BRI198.7

Marks

Harry5.5

BRI79.9

Tackles

Harry1.4

BRI54.9

Clearances

Harry1.3

BRI32.9

Inside 50s

Harry2.1

BRI53.7

Contested Poss.

Harry7.2

BRI126.1

Goals

Harry1.3

BRI13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

BRI concede · Marks

79.9per game · league avg 93.0

#18 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands6.9(41)+1.2

Everywhere else5.7(101)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.9(8)-1.3

Dry games6.1(134)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.