Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Xavier Lindsay

Melbourne · @ GCS

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (2/5)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.2

L10

2.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Xaviervs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

16.4Disposals359.7

11.8Kicks206.6

2.2Marks83.4

2.2Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

1.2Inside 50s52.9

4.4Contested Poss.128.1

0.2Goals13.2

Disposals

Xavier16.4

GCS359.7

Kicks

Xavier11.8

GCS206.6

Marks

Xavier2.2

GCS83.4

Tackles

Xavier2.2

GCS64.7

Clearances

Xavier0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Xavier1.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Xavier4.4

GCS128.1

Goals

Xavier0.2

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Marks

83.4per game · league avg 93.0

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Marks

At Carrara7.0(1)+4.2

Everywhere else2.8(22)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-2.0

Dry games3.0(22)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.