Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Xavier Lindsay

Melbourne · @ GCS

0.5 GLO —U —

Hit rate

20% (1/5)

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Avg

0.2

L10

0.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Xaviervs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

16.4Disposals359.7

11.8Kicks206.6

2.2Marks83.4

2.2Tackles64.7

0.6Clearances38.2

1.2Inside 50s52.9

4.4Contested Poss.128.1

0.2Goals13.2

Disposals

Xavier16.4

GCS359.7

Kicks

Xavier11.8

GCS206.6

Marks

Xavier2.2

GCS83.4

Tackles

Xavier2.2

GCS64.7

Clearances

Xavier0.6

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Xavier1.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Xavier4.4

GCS128.1

Goals

Xavier0.2

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Goals

13.2per game · league avg 12.7

#5 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Carrara0.0(1)-0.1

Everywhere else0.1(22)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(1)+2.0

Dry games0.0(22)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.