Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Harvey Langford

Melbourne · @ GCS

1.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

1.4

1.2

L10

1.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ GCS

Game conditionsCarrara · Gold CoastRound 21 · 2026-08-02 15:15☁ 16.5°C☂ 1.5mm (27%)🌬 13.3 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Harveyvs all playersStatGCS concedePer game

16.2Disposals359.7

7.9Kicks206.6

3.4Marks83.4

1.4Tackles64.7

1.7Clearances38.2

2.2Inside 50s52.9

6.6Contested Poss.128.1

1.1Goals13.2

Disposals

Harvey16.2

GCS359.7

Kicks

Harvey7.9

GCS206.6

Marks

Harvey3.4

GCS83.4

Tackles

Harvey1.4

GCS64.7

Clearances

Harvey1.7

GCS38.2

Inside 50s

Harvey2.2

GCS52.9

Contested Poss.

Harvey6.6

GCS128.1

Goals

Harvey1.1

GCS13.2

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

GCS concede · Tackles

64.7per game · league avg 56.9

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Carrara1.0(1)-0.3

Everywhere else1.3(39)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(2)+0.7

Dry games1.3(38)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.