Bailey Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
2.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
2.4
L10
2.8
High
5
Line Over Under
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Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly13.3Disposals398.8
5.4Kicks232.6
2.8Marks116.9
3.0Tackles50.5
0.4Clearances33.3
1.4Inside 50s55.1
4.1Contested poss.121.4
0.0Goals15.0
Disposals
Bailey13.3
ESS398.8
Kicks
Bailey5.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Bailey2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Bailey3.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Bailey0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Bailey1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Bailey4.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Bailey0.0
ESS15.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Marks
116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Marks
At M.C.G.2.6(7)+1.1
Everywhere else1.4(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Marks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(2)-1.8
Dry games2.3(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.