AFL
PProjectPunt
Bailey Macdonald
Bailey Macdonald
Hawthorn · vs ESS
0.5 FFO U
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.4
L10
0.4
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0ADEMay 211STKMay 280WBDJun 050GCSJun 190GWSJun 262MELJul 040CARJul 110RICJul 19?ESSJul 250.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 20 vs ESS
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-25 16:1513.6°C0.1mm (34%)🌬 12 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Bailey13.3
ESS398.8
Kicks
Bailey5.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Bailey2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Bailey3.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Bailey0.4
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Bailey1.4
ESS55.1
Contested poss.
Bailey4.1
ESS121.4
Goals
Bailey0.0
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Frees For

18.7per game · league avg 19.0
#10 of 18 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Frees For

At M.C.G.0.0(7)-0.7
Everywhere else0.7(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-0.4
Dry games0.4(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.