0.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 26.6/game vs a 23.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 6: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 8: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sonivs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
27.1
14
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Soni 27.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
23
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Soni 0.6/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
16.8
51
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Soni 16.8/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
44
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Soni 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
58
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Soni 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
42
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Soni 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Soni 0.1/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.4
7
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Soni 3.4/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Soni27.1
14
GLD1851.3
94
Soni 27.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Soni0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Points
26.6per game · league avg 23.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(3)-0.3
Everywhere else0.3(45)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.3
Dry games0.3(47)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Points
Avg diff
+1.3
Avg diff %
+265%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell0.000%
08-06NQLTom Chester1.60-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue1.34+200%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo0.24+1900%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki1.98+320%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.40-100%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter0.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Soni's. Computed from this app's own records.