0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.7/game vs a 5.1 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ·venue ·projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
32.7
16
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Jacob 32.7/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
16
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Jacob 0.4/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.3
43
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Jacob 14.3/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.7
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
15.8
30
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Jacob 15.8/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob32.7
16
CRO1511.1
0
Jacob 32.7/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Line Breaks
4.7per game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(4)
Everywhere else0.0(13)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)
Dry games0.0(15)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+22%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.63+433%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.10-100%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes0.71+43%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.000%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.10-100%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.20-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.