Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.0−0.5 vs your line
0.0 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.5/game vs a 4.2 league average
wet forecast: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 11°C☂ 1.9mm (100%)🌬 15.4 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Gordonvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
17.5
8
Run Metresneutral
50
1679.1
Gordon 17.5/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
50
32.8
Gordon 0.0/game
MEL concedes 32.8/game · league avg 32.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.5
10
Tacklesunfavorable
25
336.7
Gordon 3.5/game
MEL concedes 336.7/game · league avg 344.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
56
4.5
Gordon 0.0/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
88
Try Assistsfavorable
63
3.6
Gordon 0.5/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
88
6.4
Gordon 0.0/game
MEL concedes 6.4/game · league avg 5.1
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
61
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Gordon 0.5/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
10
Post Contact Metresneutral
69
563.0
Gordon 4.5/game
MEL concedes 563.0/game · league avg 544.6
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Gordon17.5
8
MEL1679.1
50
Gordon 17.5/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Gordon0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Tries
4.5per game · league avg 4.2
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tries
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else0.1(19)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.1
Dry games0.1(18)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MEL · Tries
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-26%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MANReuben Garrick0.40-100%
08-08MANJamal Fogarty0.20-100%
08-08MANJason Saab0.60-100%
08-08MANTolutau Koula0.51+89%
08-08MANBlake Wilson0.31+300%
08-08MANJoey Walsh0.20-100%
08-08MANLehi Hopoate0.70-100%
08-08MANTaniela Paseka0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Gordon's. Computed from this app's own records.