Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.9−0.6 vs your line
1.0 baseline — his last 5 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 30.6/game vs a 32.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Signalsopponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Tackle Breaks
30.6per game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At CommBank Stadium0.0(1)-1.3
Everywhere else1.3(4)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games1.0(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-37%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CRORonaldo Mulitalo2.51-59%
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake2.61-62%
08-09CROJesse Ramien2.32-13%
08-09CROMawene Hiroti0.82+167%
08-09CROBraydon Trindall0.80-100%
08-09CRONicho Hynes1.51-32%
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy3.10-100%
08-09CROBlayke Brailey1.00-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Ethan's. Computed from this app's own records.