Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.0−0.5 · line-ball
0.0 baseline — his last 5 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.5/game vs a 4.2 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ·projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBR concede · Tries
4.5per game · league avg 4.2
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tries
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.0(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.0(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBR · Tries
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+65%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09NEWGreg Marzhew1.00-100%
08-09NEWTrey Mooney0.30-100%
08-09NEWDominic Young0.92+121%
08-09NEWDane Gagai0.21+567%
08-09NEWFletcher Sharpe0.51+90%
08-09NEWSandon Smith0.10-100%
08-09NEWKalyn Ponga0.41+140%
08-09NEWJermaine McEwen0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.