0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.3 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 20.8/game vs a 23.6 league average
wet forecast: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsHBF Park · PerthRound 23 · 2026-08-08 13:00☁ 11°C☂ 1.9mm (100%)🌬 15.4 km/hWet ball risk
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Siulagivs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
46.6
24
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1625.6
Siulagi 46.6/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
26
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Siulagi 0.7/game
MAN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
7
Tacklesneutral
63
349.6
Siulagi 2.7/game
MAN concedes 349.6/game · league avg 344.9
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Triesunfavorable
19
3.6
Siulagi 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.6/game · league avg 4.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Try Assistsunfavorable
19
3.1
Siulagi 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
35
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Siulagi 0.1/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
41
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Siulagi 0.3/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.5
27
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
518.9
Siulagi 14.5/game
MAN concedes 518.9/game · league avg 545.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Siulagi46.6
24
MAN1625.6
31
Siulagi 46.6/game
MAN concedes 1625.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Siulagi0.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Points
20.8per game · league avg 23.6
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At HBF Park—(0)
Everywhere else0.3(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.3
Dry games0.3(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MAN · Points
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
-25%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-26CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.20-100%
07-26CROHohepa Puru0.30-100%
07-26CROJesse Ramien1.50-100%
07-26CROOregon Kaufusi0.20-100%
07-26CROBilly Burns0.80-100%
07-26CROSiosifa Talakai1.14+260%
07-26CROTeig Wilton1.64+143%
07-26CROBlayke Brailey0.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Siulagi's. Computed from this app's own records.
