0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.8/game vs a 4.1 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (11 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Joshvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
36.9
19
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Josh 36.9/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1690.9
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
22
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Josh 0.5/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.5
57
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Josh 18.5/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.9
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Josh 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Josh 0.1/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Josh 0.0/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
77
Offloadsfavorable
75
10.3
Josh 0.7/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
16.9
32
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Josh 16.9/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 545.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Josh36.9
19
NQL1785.8
75
Josh 36.9/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1690.9
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Josh0.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tries
4.8per game · league avg 4.1
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(11)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(12)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)
Dry games0.0(21)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Tries
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-64%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.20-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.10-100%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.20-100%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita0.40-100%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami0.72+186%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell0.50-100%
08-06GLDKeano Kini0.20-100%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Josh's. Computed from this app's own records.