0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Alexvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
135.2
83
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Alex 135.2/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.4
76
Tackle Breaksfavorable
81
34.4
Alex 2.4/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
14
Tacklesneutral
94
365.4
Alex 4.5/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
100
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Alex 1.5/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
83
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Alex 0.4/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
100
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Alex 1.8/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
60
Offloadsneutral
69
10.2
Alex 0.5/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
26.2
48
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Alex 26.2/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Alex135.2
83
WAR1543.0
13
Alex 135.2/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Alex2.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Goals
0.0per game · league avg 0.0
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goals
At Go Media Stadium0.0(1)
Everywhere else0.0(115)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Goals
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(14)
Dry games0.0(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Goals
Avg diff
0.0
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIzack Tago0.000%
08-07PENMoses Leota0.000%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins0.000%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti0.000%
08-07PENBrian To'o0.000%
08-07PENNathan Cleary0.000%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar0.000%
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Alex's. Computed from this app's own records.