Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.4−0.1 · line-ball
0.3 baseline — his last 7 games; only 1 this season, too few to blend
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 5.2/game vs a 4.2 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Tries
5.2per game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At CommBank Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.3(7)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.3(7)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs WST · Tries
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARJordan Samrani0.41+160%
08-02PARMitchell Moses0.10-100%
08-02PARBrian Kelly0.20-100%
08-02PARWill Penisini0.40-100%
08-02PARJosh Addo-Carr0.30-100%
08-02PARRonald Volkman0.30-100%
08-02PARIsaiah Iongi0.41+160%
08-02PARSam Tuivaiti0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.