Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.0−0.5 · line-ball
0.0 baseline — his last 7 games; only 1 this season, too few to blend
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Nathanvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
0.0
0
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.7
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Nathan0.0
0
CRO1511.1
0
Nathan 0.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Nathan0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Goals
0.0per game · league avg 0.0
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Goals
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.0(7)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Goals
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.0(7)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Goals
Avg diff
0.0
Avg diff %
0%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGITyrell Sloan0.000%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.000%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes0.000%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.000%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.000%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.000%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.