Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
3.2−3.3 vs your line
2.6 baseline — his last 10 games; only 1 this season, too few to blend
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 28.6/game vs a 23.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 23: 12 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Points
28.6per game · league avg 23.6
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Allianz Stadium0.0(1)-2.6
Everywhere else2.6(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-2.6
Dry games2.6(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Points
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi6.09+50%
07-23PENThomas Jenkins5.64-29%
07-05MANJamal Fogarty6.56-8%
06-25SOUAlex Johnston5.50-100%
06-25SOULatrell Siegwalt4.98+63%
06-13CBREthan Sanders7.54-46%
06-08CBYStephen Crichton6.910+45%
05-16MELNick Meaney6.610+51%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bayleigh's. Computed from this app's own records.