Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.5−2.0 vs your line
0.4 baseline — his last 10 games; only 1 this season, too few to blend
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 6.5/game vs a 5.1 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 11: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Line Breaks
6.5per game · league avg 5.1
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At Allianz Stadium0.0(1)-0.4
Everywhere else0.4(10)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.4
Dry games0.4(10)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+93%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUTallis Duncan0.70-100%
08-08SOUMatthew Dufty0.82+160%
08-08SOUCody Walker0.51+90%
08-08SOUJye Gray0.53+467%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston1.84+119%
08-02WSTAdam Doueihi0.71+44%
08-02WSTSunia Turuva0.61+67%
07-23PENCasey McLean0.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bayleigh's. Computed from this app's own records.