1.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.2 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.1
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 2.9/game vs a 4.2 league average
vs them: averages 1.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 7: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 1.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Latrellvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
128.0
79
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Latrell 128.0/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.1
99
Tackle Breaksfavorable
81
34.4
Latrell 5.1/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.4
30
Tacklesneutral
94
365.4
Latrell 9.4/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
100
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Latrell 1.2/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Latrell 0.8/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
99
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Latrell 1.1/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.3
98
Offloadsfavorable
69
10.2
Latrell 2.3/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.6
63
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Latrell 33.6/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Latrell128.0
79
WAR1543.0
13
Latrell 128.0/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Latrell5.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tries
2.9per game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tries
At Go Media Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.6(81)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.8(8)+0.1
Dry games0.6(73)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tries
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-33%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENIzack Tago0.20-100%
08-07PENMoses Leota0.000%
08-07PENThomas Jenkins1.40-100%
08-07PENPaul Alamoti0.20-100%
08-07PENBrian To'o0.60-100%
08-07PENNathan Cleary0.41+183%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar0.71+50%
08-07PENFreddy Lussick0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Latrell's. Computed from this app's own records.