5.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.1 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.9
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 33.5/game vs a 32.8 league average
−0.5 at this ground — averages 4.6 there (30 gm)
vs them: averages 4.7 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 7: 11 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Tackle Breaks
33.5per game · league avg 32.8
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Accor Stadium4.6(30)-0.6
Everywhere else5.2(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)5.5(8)+0.6
Dry games4.9(73)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
-1.1
Avg diff %
-26%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDRobert Toia4.58+77%
08-07SYDMark Nawaqanitawase4.11-75%
07-31MELMoses Leo4.02-50%
07-31MELStefano Utoikamanu4.55+11%
07-31MELSualauvi Faalogo5.73-47%
07-25WARTaine Tuaupiki4.21-76%
07-18WSTAdam Doueihi3.82-47%
07-11CBREthan Strange4.14-3%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Latrell's. Computed from this app's own records.