1.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.1
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 11.1/game vs a 9.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 1.3 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Offloads
11.1per game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At Allianz Stadium1.0(2)-0.7
Everywhere else1.7(121)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)1.6(8)-0.1
Dry games1.7(115)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Offloads
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+40%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROKL Iro0.61+80%
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.64+146%
08-02CROSione Katoa0.50-100%
08-02CROJesse Ramien0.91+8%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo1.43+114%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.41+138%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy0.30-100%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.71+36%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Brian's. Computed from this app's own records.