3.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 3.5 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 3.7
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 36.5/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.3 at this ground — averages 3.9 there (30 gm)
vs them: averages 3.2 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Tackle Breaks
36.5per game · league avg 32.8
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At CommBank Stadium3.9(30)+0.3
Everywhere else3.6(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(8)-1.8
Dry games3.8(107)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+19%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDBeau Fermor2.16+186%
08-06GLDKeano Kini4.75+8%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami3.55+45%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell2.51-60%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita2.56+140%
08-06GLDArama Hau2.30-100%
07-30SYDJames Tedesco4.91-79%
07-30SYDRobert Toia4.55+10%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Josh's. Computed from this app's own records.