0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.3/game vs a 3.5 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Try Assists
3.3per game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Try Assists
At Allianz Stadium0.0(2)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(78)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)-0.2
Dry games0.2(77)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SOU · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-36%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROKL Iro0.10-100%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.80-100%
08-02CROSione Katoa0.000%
08-02CROJesse Ramien0.20-100%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo0.31+233%
08-02CRONicho Hynes1.31-20%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy0.60-100%
08-02CROBriton Nikora0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bailey's. Computed from this app's own records.