0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.5/game vs a 3.9 league average
−0.1 at this ground — averages 0 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 0.1 over 10 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 6: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 8: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tyrellvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
90.4
56
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Tyrell 90.4/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.9
64
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Tyrell 1.9/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.2
9
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Tyrell 3.2/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
91
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Tyrell 0.6/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Tyrell 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
87
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Tyrell 0.6/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
53
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Tyrell 0.4/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.8
39
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Tyrell 20.8/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Tyrell90.4
56
CRO1511.1
0
Tyrell 90.4/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Tyrell1.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Line Break Assists
3.5per game · league avg 3.9
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(5)-0.3
Everywhere else0.3(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(11)+0.1
Dry games0.2(85)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+70%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.21+433%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.000%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.41+140%
08-09SGIValentine Holmes0.40-100%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.10-100%
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIClinton Gutherson0.72+183%
08-09SGIDylan Egan0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tyrell's. Computed from this app's own records.