0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 26.6/game vs a 23.6 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Thomasvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
126.3
78
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Thomas 126.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.2
72
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Thomas 2.2/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.8
64
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Thomas 20.8/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Thomas 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
93
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Thomas 1.2/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
53.2
92
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Thomas 53.2/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Thomas126.3
78
GLD1851.3
94
Thomas 126.3/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Thomas2.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Points
26.6per game · league avg 23.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(4)
Everywhere else0.0(76)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)
Dry games0.0(79)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Points
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+225%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSoni Luke0.40-100%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter0.40-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue1.34+200%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo0.24+1900%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell0.000%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.40-100%
08-06NQLEthan King0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.