0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 11.2/game vs a 9.7 league average
+0.2 at this ground — averages 0.2 there (39 gm)
vs them: averages 0.4 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ·venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (64%)🌬 16.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaydenvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
30.6
15
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Jayden 30.6/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
9
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Jayden 0.2/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.1
62
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Jayden 20.1/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Jayden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Jayden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Jayden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Jayden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.9
19
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Jayden 9.9/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jayden30.6
15
GLD1851.3
94
Jayden 30.6/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jayden0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Offloads
11.2per game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Offloads
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.2(39)
Everywhere else0.1(60)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(13)-0.1
Dry games0.2(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-38%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.60-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.61+62%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns1.11-11%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.20-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.60-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.82+147%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater1.10-100%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jayden's. Computed from this app's own records.