0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 5.2/game vs a 5.1 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0.1 there (21 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kaivs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
72.1
43
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Kai 72.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
52
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Kai 1.5/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.3
92
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Kai 35.3/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Kai 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
76
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Kai 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Kai 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.3
98
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Kai 2.3/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.0
52
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Kai 28.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Kai72.1
43
GLD1851.3
94
Kai 72.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Kai1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Line Breaks
5.2per game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.1(21)-0.1
Everywhere else0.2(35)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(9)-0.1
Dry games0.2(47)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Line Breaks
Avg diff
-0.3
Avg diff %
-42%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.80-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.71+50%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns1.00-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.30-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.60-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.51+110%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater0.30-100%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kai's. Computed from this app's own records.