2.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.1 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 25.8/game vs a 23.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
wet forecast: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 2.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBR concede · Points
25.8per game · league avg 23.7
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Points
At GIO Stadium2.0(2)-0.9
Everywhere else2.9(43)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(3)-0.2
Dry games2.9(42)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBR · Points
Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+58%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09NEWTrey Mooney1.10-100%
08-09NEWFletcher Hunt1.50-100%
08-01PENLiam Martin1.78+380%
08-01PENCasey McLean1.90-100%
08-01PENFreddy Lussick0.80-100%
08-01PENIsaiah Papali'i0.64+533%
08-01PENJaxen Edgar2.74+50%
08-01PENPaul Alamoti2.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.