0.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.8/game vs a 5.1 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.3 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Line Breaks
4.8per game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium2.3(3)+1.8
Everywhere else0.5(42)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(3)-0.4
Dry games0.7(42)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+69%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIDeine Mariner0.50-100%
08-08BRIThomas Duffy0.10-100%
08-08BRIJosiah Karapani0.80-100%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs0.40-100%
08-08BRIGrant Anderson0.21+550%
08-08BRIEzra Mam0.63+391%
08-08BRIReece Walsh0.51+114%
08-08BRIXavier Willison0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.