0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.5
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.8/game vs a 5.1 league average
+0.3 at this ground — averages 0.8 there (14 gm)
vs them: averages 0.4 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Line Breaks
4.8per game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At Suncorp Stadium0.8(14)+0.3
Everywhere else0.5(117)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(15)-0.3
Dry games0.5(116)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+69%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIDeine Mariner0.50-100%
08-08BRIThomas Duffy0.10-100%
08-08BRIJosiah Karapani0.80-100%
08-08BRIKotoni Staggs0.40-100%
08-08BRIGrant Anderson0.21+550%
08-08BRIEzra Mam0.63+391%
08-08BRIReece Walsh0.51+114%
08-08BRIXavier Willison0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Dane's. Computed from this app's own records.