1.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.5 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 1.4
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 33.1/game vs a 32.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 2.6 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBR concede · Tackle Breaks
33.1per game · league avg 32.8
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At Ocean Protect Stadium1.0(1)-0.5
Everywhere else1.5(90)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)1.2(5)-0.3
Dry games1.5(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBR · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.9
Avg diff %
+82%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09NEWFrancis Manuleleua1.29+658%
08-09NEWCody Hopwood0.83+292%
08-09NEWTrey Mooney2.11-53%
08-09NEWJermaine McEwen1.61-37%
08-09NEWMat Croker0.80-100%
08-09NEWHarrison Graham0.60-100%
08-09NEWSandon Smith0.90-100%
08-09NEWFletcher Hunt1.53+97%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Royce's. Computed from this app's own records.