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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
FinalGLD8◄NQL30◄FinalWAR28◄PEN12◄FinalSYD20◄CBY18◄Sat 13:00MEL◄MAN◄Sat 17:30DOL◄BRI◄Sat 19:35SOU◄PAR◄Sun 14:00CBR◄NEW◄Sun 16:05SGI◄CRO◄
Compare+
BSBailey SimonssonOFL1.560%3/5KKKitione KautogaOFL1.564%9/14BKBrian KellyOFL1.541%7/17JSJordan SamraniOFL
LMLatrell MitchellOFL2.556%5/9TDTallis DuncanOFL0.559%10/17CGCampbell GrahamOFL0.557%8/14CMCameron MurrayOFL

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Browse all players →
TriesTry AssistsLine BreaksLine Break AssistsRun MetresRunsPost Contact MetresTackle BreaksTacklesOffloadsPointsGoals
1.5
33%4/12
DBDylan BrownOFL1.533%5/15
JPJunior PauloOFL0.558%7/12
WGWiremu GreigOFL0.575%3/4
WPWill PenisiniOFL0.557%4/7
KTKelma TuilagiOFL0.544%8/18
RVRonald VolkmanOFL0.557%8/14
LMLuca MorettiOFL0.538%5/13
IIIsaiah IongiOFL0.542%5/12
+20 more PAR playersShowHide
JHJ'maine HopgoodOFL0.550%1/2JWJack WilliamsOFL0.537%7/19TSTallyn Da SilvaOFL0.537%7/19ANAraz NanvaOFL0.533%1/3SRSean RussellOFL0.514%2/14DWDylan WalkerOFL0.521%4/19TBTeancum BrownOFL0.518%2/11STSam TuivaitiOFL0.514%2/14HEHarrison EdwardsOFL0.59%1/11MMMitchell MosesOFL0.57%1/14CGCharlie GuymerOFL0.56%1/16JBJack De BelinOFL0.56%1/17JPJoash PapaliiOFL0.55%1/19RSRyley SmithOFL0.50%0/9MDMatt DooreyOFL0.50%0/4TMToni MataeleOFL0.50%0/9JAJosh Addo-CarrOFL0.50%0/18ATApa TwidleOFL0.50%0/6LTLorenzo TalatainaOFL0.50%0/4SPSaxon PrykeOFL0.50%0/5
0.550%7/14
CWCody WalkerOFL0.556%10/18
KKKeaon KoloamatangiOFL0.547%9/19
AJAlex JohnstonOFL0.544%7/16
LHLachlan HubnerOFL0.533%6/18
AWAshton WardOFL0.533%4/12
JWJack WightonOFL0.531%4/13
SKSean KeppieOFL0.523%3/13
LSLatrell SiegwaltOFL0.523%3/13
+15 more SOU playersShowHide
AEAdam ElliottOFL0.520%1/5TFThomas FletcherOFL0.520%1/5BSBrandon SmithOFL0.518%2/11MDMatthew DuftyOFL0.517%2/12JGJye GrayOFL0.56%1/16PMPeter MamouzelosOFL0.510%1/10LBLiam Le BlancOFL0.59%1/11JHJamie HumphreysOFL0.57%1/15TTTevita TatolaOFL0.55%1/19DMDavvy MoaleOFL0.50%0/13JSJayden SullivanOFL0.50%0/15BBBayleigh Bentley-HapeOFL0.50%0/1TPTalanoa PenitaniOFL0.50%0/1JRJohn RadelOFL0.50%0/7DJDayne JenningsOFL0.50%0/4
BSBailey Simonsson1.5KKKitione Kautoga1.5BKBrian Kelly1.5JSJordan Samrani1.5DBDylan Brown1.5JPJunior Paulo0.5WGWiremu Greig0.5WPWill Penisini0.5KTKelma Tuilagi0.5RVRonald Volkman0.5LMLuca Moretti0.5IIIsaiah Iongi0.5LMLatrell Mitchell2.5TDTallis Duncan0.5CGCampbell Graham0.5CMCameron Murray0.5CWCody Walker0.5KKKeaon Koloamatangi0.5AJAlex Johnston0.5LHLachlan Hubner0.5AWAshton Ward0.5JWJack Wighton0.5SKSean Keppie0.5LSLatrell Siegwalt0.5+35 more →
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MD
Matt Doorey
Parramatta Eels · @ SOU
0.5 OFLO —U —
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.0
L5
0.0
L10
0.0
High
0
Projection
0.0−0.5 vs your line
  • 0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
  • +0.0 opponent leak — they concede 11.1/game vs a 9.8 league average
  • at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
  • vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed

Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.

0MELMar 050BRIMar 120SGIMar 220PENMar 28?SOUAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsAllianz Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-08 19:35☁ 13.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 11.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Mattvs all playersStatSOU concedePer game
63.3
37
Run Metresneutral
38
1656.5
Matt 63.3/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
46
Tackle Breaksneutral
75
34.4
Matt 1.3/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.3
39
Tacklesneutral
81
353.3
Matt 13.3/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 344.9
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
50
4.1
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
44
3.3
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.6
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
81
11.1
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
25.8
48
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
19
503.2
Matt 25.8/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Matt63.3
37
SOU1656.5
38
Matt 63.3/game
SOU concedes 1656.5/game · league avg 1690.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Matt1.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SOU concede · Offloads

11.1per game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Offloads

At Allianz Stadium0.0(2)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(53)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Offloads

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games0.1(55)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs SOU · Offloads

Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+10%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02CROKL Iro0.61+80%
08-02CROBlayke Brailey0.71+36%
08-02CROSione Katoa0.50-100%
08-02CROJesse Ramien0.91+8%
08-02CRORonaldo Mulitalo1.43+114%
08-02CROBraydon Trindall0.41+138%
08-02CROWilliam Kennedy0.30-100%
08-02CROBriton Nikora0.90-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Matt's. Computed from this app's own records.
46
SOU34.4
75
Matt 1.3/game
SOU concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tacklesneutral
Matt13.3
39
SOU353.3
81
Matt 13.3/game
SOU concedes 353.3/game · league avg 344.9
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Triesneutral
Matt0.0
0
SOU4.1
50
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 4.1/game · league avg 4.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Try Assistsunfavorable
Matt0.0
0
SOU3.3
44
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Line Breaksunfavorable
Matt0.0
0
SOU4.6
38
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 4.6/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Offloadsneutral
Matt0.0
0
SOU11.1
81
Matt 0.0/game
SOU concedes 11.1/game · league avg 9.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
Matt25.8
48
SOU503.2
19
Matt 25.8/game
SOU concedes 503.2/game · league avg 545.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded