0.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.1 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 26.7/game vs a 23.7 league average
+1.5 at this ground — averages 2.3 there (38 gm)
vs them: averages 2.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Points
26.7per game · league avg 23.7
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At CommBank Stadium2.3(38)+0.8
Everywhere else1.6(40)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-2.0
Dry games2.0(76)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Points
Avg diff
-0.6
Avg diff %
-100%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.70-100%
08-06GLDBeau Fermor0.40-100%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.80-100%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita1.60-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.20-100%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.20-100%
08-06GLDKeano Kini0.60-100%
08-06GLDChris Randall0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Sean's. Computed from this app's own records.