0.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.5 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.5
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 4.1/game vs a 3.5 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 0.6 there (18 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 15: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Try Assists
4.1per game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Try Assists
At CommBank Stadium0.6(18)+0.2
Everywhere else0.4(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Try Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.5
Dry games0.5(35)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NQL · Try Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-52%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDAJ Brimson0.30-100%
08-06GLDMoeaki Fotuaika0.000%
08-06GLDDean Ieremia0.000%
08-06GLDJojo Fifita0.20-100%
08-06GLDPhillip Sami0.10-100%
08-06GLDJayden Campbell0.60-100%
08-06GLDKeano Kini0.61+82%
08-06GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui0.20-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Isaiah's. Computed from this app's own records.