0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4/game vs a 3.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Johnvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
66.8
40
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
John 66.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
21
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
John 0.5/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.5
54
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
John 17.5/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
John 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
John 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
John 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
78
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
John 0.8/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
26.0
48
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
John 26.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
John66.8
40
GLD1851.3
94
John 66.8/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
John0.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Line Break Assists
4.0per game · league avg 3.9
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(2)-0.1
Everywhere else0.1(53)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(5)-0.1
Dry games0.1(50)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-64%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.20-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.51+110%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns0.10-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.30-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.30-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.60-100%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater1.31-25%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of John's. Computed from this app's own records.