Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.1−0.4 vs your line
0.1 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.9/game vs a 4.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Tries
4.9per game · league avg 4.2
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At CommBank Stadium1.0(1)+0.8
Everywhere else0.2(52)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(4)
Dry games0.2(49)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PAR · Tries
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+126%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUJack Wighton0.20-100%
08-08SOUTevita Tatola0.11+900%
08-08SOUAlex Johnston1.53+104%
08-08SOUTallis Duncan0.40-100%
08-08SOUCody Walker0.40-100%
08-08SOUAshton Ward0.10-100%
08-08SOUMatthew Dufty0.20-100%
08-08SOUBrandon Smith0.21+500%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Viliami's. Computed from this app's own records.