Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.4−0.1 vs your line
0.4 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 26.6/game vs a 23.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 1.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Viliamivs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
0.0
0
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Viliami0.0
0
GLD1851.3
94
Viliami 0.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Viliami0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Points
26.6per game · league avg 23.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Points
At Cbus Super Stadium0.0(2)-0.9
Everywhere else0.9(51)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(4)+0.1
Dry games0.9(49)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Points
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+225%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSoni Luke0.40-100%
08-06NQLReuben Cotter0.40-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue1.34+200%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo0.24+1900%
08-06NQLKai O'Donnell0.000%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.40-100%
08-06NQLEthan King0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Viliami's. Computed from this app's own records.