0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.5/game vs a 3.9 league average
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ·projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Samuelvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
120.9
74
Run Metresfavorable
100
1914.7
Samuel 120.9/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
52
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Samuel 1.5/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.8
21
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Samuel 5.8/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
71
Triesfavorable
94
5.1
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
62
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Samuel 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
64
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
45
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Samuel 0.3/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.9
64
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Samuel 33.9/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Samuel120.9
74
SGI1914.7
100
Samuel 120.9/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Samuel1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Line Break Assists
4.5per game · league avg 3.9
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else0.0(32)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)
Dry games0.0(31)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
-0.0
Avg diff %
-54%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROMawene Hiroti0.10-100%
08-09CRONicho Hynes1.31-23%
08-09CROSione Katoa0.000%
08-09CROJesse Ramien0.10-100%
08-09CRORonaldo Mulitalo0.10-100%
08-09CROBraydon Trindall1.12+90%
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy0.50-100%
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Samuel's. Computed from this app's own records.