0.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.1 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.1
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.4/game vs a 3.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.1 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.1°C☂ 0.5mm (87%)🌬 17.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
33.4
17
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Jacob 0.6/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.6
69
Tacklesneutral
69
352.1
Jacob 22.6/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
58
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Jacob 0.2/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
37
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Jacob 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
65
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Jacob 0.5/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.4
16
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Jacob 8.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob33.4
17
CRO1504.1
0
Jacob 33.4/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Line Break Assists
3.4per game · league avg 3.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Line Break Assists
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.3(3)+0.2
Everywhere else0.1(108)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Break Assists
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(8)-0.2
Dry games0.2(103)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Line Break Assists
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJack Wighton0.20-100%
08-02SOUAshton Ward1.010%
08-02SOUAlex Johnston0.30-100%
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt0.60-100%
08-02SOUCampbell Graham0.20-100%
08-02SOUCody Walker1.13+184%
08-02SOUMatthew Dufty0.72+200%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.