2.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.8 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 8.9/game vs a 9.7 league average
−0.4 at this ground — averages 2.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 1.5 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Offloads
8.9per game · league avg 9.7
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Offloads
At CommBank Stadium2.3(4)+0.9
Everywhere else1.3(99)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(10)-0.4
Dry games1.4(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-16%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARBrian Kelly1.41-28%
08-02PARKitione Kautoga1.72+15%
08-02PARJordan Samrani1.32+53%
07-25CBRJoseph Tapine1.62+24%
07-25CBRCorey Horsburgh1.30-100%
07-18CBYJacob Kiraz3.65+40%
07-18CBYViliame Kikau2.82-29%
07-04SGIRyan Couchman1.60-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jaydn's. Computed from this app's own records.