2.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.8 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 8.6/game vs a 9.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 1.1 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o2.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaydnvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
117.0
72
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
60
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Jaydn 1.8/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.4
81
Tacklesfavorable
88
354.8
Jaydn 28.4/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
46
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Jaydn 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jaydn 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Jaydn 0.3/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
99
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Jaydn 2.8/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.5
78
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Jaydn 41.5/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jaydn117.0
72
CRO1511.1
0
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jaydn1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Offloads
8.6per game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Offloads
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium3.0(1)+1.7
Everywhere else1.3(102)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Offloads
Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(10)-0.4
Dry games1.4(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Offloads
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGIRyan Couchman1.61-38%
07-26MANReuben Garrick1.62+23%
07-26MANBen Trbojevic1.41-31%
07-17NEWKalyn Ponga1.82+14%
07-11DOLHerbie Farnworth3.21-68%
06-21SYDJames Tedesco1.63+92%
06-07SGIRyan Couchman1.62+23%
05-29MANBen Trbojevic1.41-31%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jaydn's. Computed from this app's own records.