0.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.3 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.2
−0.0 opponent leak — they concede 4.5/game vs a 5.1 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.1 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (79%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaydnvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
117.0
72
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
59
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Jaydn 1.8/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.4
81
Tacklesfavorable
69
352.1
Jaydn 28.4/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.9
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
47
Triesunfavorable
25
3.7
Jaydn 0.1/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jaydn 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Jaydn 0.3/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.8
99
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Jaydn 2.8/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.5
78
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Jaydn 41.5/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 545.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jaydn117.0
72
CRO1504.1
0
Jaydn 117.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1690.9
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jaydn1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Line Breaks
4.5per game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(1)-0.2
Everywhere else0.2(102)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(10)-0.2
Dry games0.2(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Line Breaks
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
+48%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJack Wighton0.20-100%
08-02SOUAshton Ward0.10-100%
08-02SOUAlex Johnston1.71-41%
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt0.21+550%
08-02SOUCampbell Graham0.93+223%
08-02SOUCody Walker0.50-100%
08-02SOUMatthew Dufty0.71+50%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Jaydn's. Computed from this app's own records.