0.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.7 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.8
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 20.8/game vs a 23.7 league average
−0.7 at this ground — averages 0 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 2.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o0.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Clintonvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
154.2
90
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1511.1
Clinton 154.2/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.5
55
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
29.1
Clinton 1.5/game
CRO concedes 29.1/game · league avg 32.8
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.2
23
Tacklesneutral
88
354.8
Clinton 6.2/game
CRO concedes 354.8/game · league avg 344.9
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
58
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Clinton 0.2/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
79
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Clinton 0.3/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
59
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Clinton 0.2/game
CRO concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
85
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Clinton 0.9/game
CRO concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
38.1
71
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
469.6
Clinton 38.1/game
CRO concedes 469.6/game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Clinton154.2
90
CRO1511.1
0
Clinton 154.2/game
CRO concedes 1511.1/game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Clinton1.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Points
20.8per game · league avg 23.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(5)-3.2
Everywhere else3.2(133)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(6)-1.8
Dry games3.2(132)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Points
Avg diff
+0.2
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILoko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga0.000%
08-09SGIHamish Stewart0.84+400%
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia0.000%
08-09SGIKyle Flanagan0.30-100%
08-09SGIEmre Guler0.20-100%
08-09SGIDylan Egan0.30-100%
08-09SGIMoses Suli0.70-100%
08-09SGIRyan Couchman0.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Clinton's. Computed from this app's own records.